nista eur puklo long ,indexi samo za njima,,up …
ja ujutro bio odradio od 29-34, prerano usao u short 1942 i sada cekam, uglavnom sva sila prve lige analiticara-demark, mcllellan, onaj bugarin, svi govore o pocetku selloffa ili bar konsolidaciji na nizim razinama, moje misljenje da mora napraviti pullback na 1910-1920, gdje ce se odluciti kako dalje
spx 1930 cca jos se moze long probat jednom .
990 ostala duzna razina
izletio van na 34, usli malloy i ja long natty na kraju dana, tigar mislim da je isto short od 1943
dodi tamo inverter, isto imamo privatne kanale, pitat cu ja admina da nam napravi posebnu grupu
dodi tamo inverter, isto imamo privatne kanale, pitat cu ja admina da nam napravi posebnu grupu
Odlican mjesec iza nas, ali i upozorenje za predstojeće dane. Iz iskustva znam da nakon izdasnog mjeseca (ovo je po meni izdasno za trgovanje 1 contracta) dolazi teze razdoblje, pokusati cu hvatati manje targete jer mislim da veci trebaju predah od mjesec – dva.
Sretno svima.
dodi tamo inverter, isto imamo privatne kanale, pitat cu ja admina da nam napravi posebnu grupu
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tamo na botu sto sam ti poslao podatke na pp
Dečki tema bu zamrla sad kad ste se odmetnuli … šortat naftu ili još čekat pitanje je sad
990 ostala duzna razina
Dečki tema bu zamrla sad kad ste se odmetnuli … šortat naftu ili još čekat pitanje je sad
Ne, dok su indeksi ovako jaki.
Bolje je čekati; jer se radi sve da SP pređe 2000. Nikako nije dobro u short, osim ako nije riječ o daytrade.
Agresivni sektori vode ovaj rast, Russell 2000 jako dobro raste. Ne vrijedi hvatati sami vrh.
… anybody home …? …. baš sam naletio na zanimljivo sistematizirano stanje svjetske ekonomije, ili barem najatraktivnijeg dijela te okonomije (SeekingAlfa):
“Not a good time to remain optimistic. Better to protect gains by moving out of the market. 21 current numbers pointing to an expanding deflationary collapse:
1. Chinese EXPORTS fell 11.2 percent year over year in January.
2. Chinese IMPORTS were even worse in January. On a year over year basis, they declined a whopping 18.8 percent.
3. Chinese IMPORTS have now plunged for 15 months in a row.
4. In India, EXPORTS were down 13.6 percent on a year over year basis in January.
5. In Japan, EXPORTS declined 8 percent in December on a year over year basis, while IMPORTS plummeted 18 percent.
6. For the sixth time in six years, Japanese GDP growth has gone negative.
7. In the United States, EXPORTS were down 7 percent on a year over year basis in December.
8. U.S. factory orders have fallen for 14 months in a row.
9. The Restaurant Performance Index in the United States has dropped to the lowest level that we have seen since 2008.
10. The Baltic Dry Index recently fell below 300 for the first time ever.
11. It is now cheaper to rent a 1,100 foot merchant vessel than it is to rent a Ferrari.
12. Orders for Class 8 trucks in the United States dropped by 48 percent on a year over year basis in January.
13. Due to lack of demand for trucks, Daimler just laid off 1,250 U.S. workers.
14. Even though Saudi Arabia and Russia have agreed to freeze oil production at current levels, the price of U.S. oil has fallen below 40 dollars a barrel.
15. It is being reported that 35 percent of all oil and gas companies around the world are at risk of falling into bankruptcy.
16. According to CNN, 67 oil and gas companies in the United States filed for bankruptcy during 2015.
17. The number of job cuts in the United States skyrocketed 218 percent during the month of January according to CNN.
18. All over America, retail stores are shutting down at a stunning pace.
• WalMart is closing 269 stores, including 154 inside the United States.
• K-Mart is closing more than two dozen stores over the next several months.
• J.C. Penny will be permanently shutting down 47 more stores after closing a total of 40 stores in 2015.
• Macy’s has decided that it needs to shutter 36 stores and lay off approximately 2,500 employees.
• The Gap is in the process of closing 175 stores in North America.
• Aeropostale is in the process of closing 84 stores all across America.
• Finish Line has announced that 150 stores will be shutting down over the next few years.
• Sears has shut down about 600 stores over the past year or so, but sales at the stores that remain open continue to fall precipitously.
19. Global stocks have fallen into bear market territory, which means that about one-fifth of all global stock market wealth has already been wiped out.
20. Unfortunately for global banks, they have pretty much run out of ammunition. Since March 2008, central banks have cut interest rates 637 time and they have purchased a staggering 12.3 trillion dollars worth of assets. There is not much more they can do, and now the next great crisis is upon us.
21. The price of gold is enjoying its best quarterly performance in 30 years.”
sto se macro podataka tice, nesporno da su losi, iako je prosli tjedan dao i bullsima pravo na optimizam, gdp bolji od ocekivanog, nafta se oporavila do razina gdje junk bond market moze doci do daha, credit nije toliko pod stresom, kina jacala yuan zbog susreta kp-a, itd.
ali, sve u svemu, lose je, recesija kuca na vrata i u sad-u i europi, a vec je naveliko prisutna u emeregin markets.
imali smo fini rally, 200 bodova, skoro kao 10 mjesec, bearish sentiment je resetiran, etf-ovi imaju rekordan outflows, rast je na slabom volumenu, short pozicija je jos ogromna, ovaj clanak fino govori da postoji velika opasnost od daljnjeg short coveringa
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-05/most-painful-part-short-squeeze-may-be-yet-come-jpm-warns
ovaj pak govori, da veliki decki su jos uvijek long
http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/SmartMoneyTrackerPremium/~3/j0lOpVTfnac/chart-of-the-day-232.html
tehnicki, ovo mi je najvjerojatni razvoj, pullback do 1970, run do 2040, i to je to, natrag na low 1800