Velika Depresija 2 – san ili java

Naslovnica Forum Tržište kapitala Hrvatska Velika Depresija 2 – san ili java

Forum namijenjen svim temama vezanim za dionice, obveznice i druge vrijednosne papire te trgovanje istima u Hrvatskoj.


Osobno smatram da je depresija već odavno došla, naravno, ne svima, to je tako.
Ako je propao Pevec, urušila se Podravka, SMS itd. i više je nego očito da se radi o depresiji.
Ponajprije o depresiji ljudi koji su tamo radili ili rade.

Eto vidiš, neki su već u depresiji i to žestokoj, a kolege im se na neki način rugaju, samo zato što je njima dobro.
A zaboravljaju da ne može biti samo nama dobro ako je drugima loše!¨!!!!!!!!
Nitko nije otok i kad dođe tsunami ( nadam se da neće ) potopiti će nas sve, osim nekih tipova poput Vidoševića, Sanadera i sličnih…….

http://www.kucilooro.webs.com/


Osobno smatram da je depresija već odavno došla, naravno, ne svima, to je tako.
Ako je propao Pevec, urušila se Podravka, SMS itd. i više je nego očito da se radi o depresiji.
Ponajprije o depresiji ljudi koji su tamo radili ili rade.

A jel? A kad sam ja to prije x mjeseci napisao onda je bilo kojekakvog ruganja.

Šteta što je prodana Pliva, ona je ipak proizvodila Portal tojest hrvatsku verziju Prosaca a to je podizalo iz depresije….sve što valja smo rasprodali. [bye] [cry] Ostaje nam Marijan Badel. [sad]

The mind is a terrible thing to taste

Evo komšije šta se počelo pisati okolo:

PROGNOZE
Lars Christensen: Hrvatskoj, Srbiji i Sloveniji prijeti bankrot
Autor/izvor: SEEbiz
ZAGREB – Svjetski priznati ekonomist Lars Christensen predvidio je mnoge financijske krize i bankrote.
Nakon financijskog sloma Islanda i bankrota koji prijete Grčkoj i Španjolskoj, ekonomist kaže kako države koje imaju zdrave javne financije neće osjetiti udar, "no one koje su u problemima, neće im biti lako".
U tu skupinu zemalja spada Slovenija, Rumunjska, Bugarska, Ukrajina, Srbija i Hrvatska.

"Većina europskih zemalja je pred bankrotom. Krajnji primjer krize je Island, a vrlo blizu tome je i Ukrajina. Ni balkanskim državama to nije isključen scenarij, iako sumnjam da će se dogoditi. Najbliže bankrotu ipak je Litva", rekao je Christensen.
Prema njegovom mišljenju krediti koje odobravaju banke poduzećima pred propadanjem je loš način za rješavanje krize.

"Teško je imati istu valutu u velikom broju država koje imaju drastične razlike u plaćama, cijenama, političkoj moći i kulturnim i civilizacijskim normama", zaključio je Christensen.
Prema njegovom mišljenju u EU bi mogla ući nova država članica tek ukoliko stara izađe van.

http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/makroekonomija/christensen-hrvatskoj%2c-srbiji-i-sloveniji-prijeti-bankrot,64322.html

Evo malo izjava vodećih ljudi američkog businessa uoči crasha stock marketa i početka Depresije

1. "We will not have any more crashes in our time."
– John Maynard Keynes in 1927

2. "I cannot help but raise a dissenting voice to statements that we are living in a fool’s paradise, and that prosperity in this country must necessarily diminish and recede in the near future."
– E. H. H. Simmons, President, New York Stock Exchange, January 12, 1928

"There will be no interruption of our permanent prosperity."
– Myron E. Forbes, President, Pierce Arrow Motor Car Co., January 12, 1928

3. "No Congress of the United States ever assembled, on surveying the state of the Union, has met with a more pleasing prospect than that which appears at the present time. In the domestic field there is tranquility and contentment…and the highest record of years of prosperity. In the foreign field there is peace, the goodwill which comes from mutual understanding."
– Calvin Coolidge December 4, 1928

4. "There may be a recession in stock prices, but not anything in the nature of a crash."
– Irving Fisher, leading U.S. economist , New York Times, Sept. 5, 1929

5. "Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon if ever a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as (bears) have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months."
– Irving Fisher, Ph.D. in economics, Oct. 17, 1929

"This crash is not going to have much effect on business."
– Arthur Reynolds, Chairman of Continental Illinois Bank of Chicago, October 24, 1929

"There will be no repetition of the break of yesterday… I have no fear of another comparable decline."
– Arthur W. Loasby (President of the Equitable Trust Company), quoted in NYT, Friday, October 25, 1929

"We feel that fundamentally Wall Street is sound, and that for people who can afford to pay for them outright, good stocks are cheap at these prices."
– Goodbody and Company market-letter quoted in The New York Times, Friday, October 25, 1929

6. "This is the time to buy stocks. This is the time to recall the words of the late J. P. Morgan… that any man who is bearish on America will go broke. Within a few days there is likely to be a bear panic rather than a bull panic. Many of the low prices as a result of this hysterical selling are not likely to be reached again in many years."
– R. W. McNeel, market analyst, as quoted in the New York Herald Tribune, October 30, 1929

"Buying of sound, seasoned issues now will not be regretted"
– E. A. Pearce market letter quoted in the New York Herald Tribune, October 30, 1929

"Some pretty intelligent people are now buying stocks… Unless we are to have a panic — which no one seriously believes, stocks have hit bottom."
– R. W. McNeal, financial analyst in October 1929

7. "The decline is in paper values, not in tangible goods and services…America is now in the eighth year of prosperity as commercially defined. The former great periods of prosperity in America averaged eleven years. On this basis we now have three more years to go before the tailspin."
– Stuart Chase (American economist and author), NY Herald Tribune, November 1, 1929

"Hysteria has now disappeared from Wall Street."
– The Times of London, November 2, 1929

"The Wall Street crash doesn’t mean that there will be any general or serious business depression… For six years American business has been diverting a substantial part of its attention, its energies and its resources on the speculative game… Now that irrelevant, alien and hazardous adventure is over. Business has come home aga

AZ FONDOM DO BLAGOSTANJA

# "… a serious depression seems improbable; [we expect] recovery of business next spring, with further improvement in the fall."
– HES, November 10, 1929

"The end of the decline of the Stock Market will probably not be long, only a few more days at most."
– Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics at Yale University, November 14, 1929

"In most of the cities and towns of this country, this Wall Street panic will have no effect."
– Paul Block (President of the Block newspaper chain), editorial, November 15, 1929

"Financial storm definitely passed."
– Bernard Baruch, cablegram to Winston Churchill, November 15, 1929

# "I see nothing in the present situation that is either menacing or warrants pessimism… I have every confidence that there will be a revival of activity in the spring, and that during this coming year the country will make steady progress."
– Andrew W. Mellon, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury December 31, 1929

"I am convinced that through these measures we have reestablished confidence."
– Herbert Hoover, December 1929

"[1930 will be] a splendid employment year."
– U.S. Dept. of Labor, New Year’s Forecast, December 1929

# "For the immediate future, at least, the outlook (stocks) is bright."
– Irving Fisher, Ph.D. in Economics, in early 1930

# "…there are indications that the severest phase of the recession is over…"
– Harvard Economic Society (HES) Jan 18, 1930

# "There is nothing in the situation to be disturbed about."
– Secretary of the Treasury Andrew Mellon, Feb 1930

# "The spring of 1930 marks the end of a period of grave concern…American business is steadily coming back to a normal level of prosperity."
– Julius Barnes, head of Hoover’s National Business Survey Conference, Mar 16, 1930

"… the outlook continues favorable…"
– HES Mar 29, 1930

# "… the outlook is favorable…"
– HES Apr 19, 1930

# "While the crash only took place six months ago, I am convinced we have now passed through the worst — and with continued unity of effort we shall rapidly recover. There has been no significant bank or industrial failure. That danger, too, is safely behind us."
– Herbert Hoover, President of the United States, May 1, 1930

"…by May or June the spring recovery forecast in our letters of last December and November should clearly be apparent…"
– HES May 17, 1930

"Gentleman, you have come sixty days too late. The depression is over."
– Herbert Hoover, responding to a delegation requesting a public works program to help speed the recovery, June 1930

# "… irregular and conflicting movements of business should soon give way to a sustained recovery…"
– HES June 28, 1930

# "… the present depression has about spent its force…"
– HES, Aug 30, 1930

# "We are now near the end of the declining phase of the depression."
– HES Nov 15, 1930

# "Stabilization at [present] levels is clearly possible."
– HES Oct 31, 1931

# "All safe deposit boxes in banks or financial institutions have been sealed… and may only be opened in the presence of an agent of the I.R.S."
– President F.D. Roosevelt, 1933

AZ FONDOM DO BLAGOSTANJA



Osobno smatram da je depresija već odavno došla, naravno, ne svima, to je tako.
Ako je propao Pevec, urušila se Podravka, SMS itd. i više je nego očito da se radi o depresiji.
Ponajprije o depresiji ljudi koji su tamo radili ili rade.

A jel? A kad sam ja to prije x mjeseci napisao onda je bilo kojekakvog ruganja.
[/quote]

Pusti prošlost, ti živiš luksuzno, a to ne može svatko.

Don't be convinced of your super knowledge of the market, the market does what it wants, and you are just along for the ride!

Da rezimiramo…
Niska je stopa inflacije.
Visoka je stopa nezaposlenosti.
Pad je gospodarskih aktivnosti, a kako stvari stoje biti će i dalje.
Upravo školski primjer jake depresije.
Počnu li cijene energenata jako rasti…eto nas u dezinflaciji ili po naški deflaciji.
No izgleda da postoji jaka volja monetarnih vlasti da se taj trend prekine.
Što se tiče Vladine politike tu i dalje izgleda da se čeka da dođe vitez iz vana na bijelom konju da taj trend prekine u vidu Euroatlantskih integracija.
Ono što je činjenica…
Banke su pune casha i boje ga se plasirati.
Traže risk free plasmane.
Pitanje je može li ih se nekako "natjerati" da taj novac plasiraju u zdrave gospodarske projekte.
Pođe li to kome za rukom, možemo govoriti o naznakama oporavka.
Sve prije toga je pusta tlapnja a bojim se da će se tečajevi na burzi isto tako kretati…

The mind is a terrible thing to taste

Flashback, 23.12.2009. u 23:05
Počnu li cijene energenata jako rasti…eto nas u dezinflaciji ili po naški deflaciji

Korekcija netočnog navoda…..eto nas u stagflaciji.

The mind is a terrible thing to taste


Da rezimiramo…
Niska je stopa inflacije.
Visoka je stopa nezaposlenosti.
Pad je gospodarskih aktivnosti, a kako stvari stoje biti će i dalje.
Upravo školski primjer jake depresije.
Počnu li cijene energenata jako rasti…eto nas u dezinflaciji ili po naški deflaciji.
No izgleda da postoji jaka volja monetarnih vlasti da se taj trend prekine.
Što se tiče Vladine politike tu i dalje izgleda da se čeka da dođe vitez iz vana na bijelom konju da taj trend prekine u vidu Euroatlantskih integracija.
Ono što je činjenica…
Banke su pune casha i boje ga se plasirati.
Traže risk free plasmane.
Pitanje je može li ih se nekako "natjerati" da taj novac plasiraju u zdrave gospodarske projekte.
Pođe li to kome za rukom, možemo govoriti o naznakama oporavka.
Sve prije toga je pusta tlapnja a bojim se da će se tečajevi na burzi isto tako kretati…

novac su dosadjuje u bankama….takvo stanje ne moze potrajati predugo….NOVAC CE SE PLASIRATI VEC SLJEDECE GODINE,ALI POLAGANO….

SVI SU SPAMERI IGNORE !!! D,D(dugoročni dokupljivači)bloger predvodnik :-)strucnjak


http://www.croatiabiz.com/info_lnews-article.php?ID=39123

ah , koja industrija , nekad su tvornice zapošljavale po više od 1000 ljudi i bilo ih je na sve strane , to je bila industrijska proizvodnja ,a ne ovo danas ,privatni businessi zapošljavaju po par ljudi …………… [bye]



http://www.croatiabiz.com/info_lnews-article.php?ID=39123

ah , koja industrija , nekad su tvornice zapošljavale po više od 1000 ljudi i bilo ih je na sve strane , to je bila industrijska proizvodnja ,a ne ovo danas ,privatni businessi zapošljavaju po par ljudi …………… [bye]
[/quote]
Te tvornice su bile nešto tipa Crobex 5000.
HR nema nikakvih preduvjeta za ozbiljnu industrijsku proizvodnju i s time treba više raskrstit.
Imamo poljoprivredu, promet, trgovinu, građevinu, turizam, sport.
Mogli bi imat financije i medije.
Pametnome previše.

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