U SAD-u je situacija poprilično komplicirana… Inflacija u porastu, a gospodarstvo usporava (ogomni gubici po hipotekarnim kreditima 300-400 mlrd usd), deficit trg.bilance je ogroman prošlu godinu je zaključio u minusu od preko 750 mlrd usd, a i ova će biti još i veća, povjerenje potrošaća pada (zbog rastućih cijena-pogotovo nafte), a potrošnja stanovništva ćini 805 tamošnjeg BDP-a, FED spušta baznu kamatu izgleda opet sad sljedeći tjedan za dodatnih 0,25%, tako da sve u svemu ne piše se dobro.Čini se da psihološka granica od 1,50 uopće više nije upitna da će biti probijena, nego kada i to je to… Tu je jo uvijek i ratna sjekira na bliskom istoku, koja nije zakopana, tako da i to sputava oporavak dolara i evo sad u petak je Iran objavio da više naftu neće naplaćivati u usd, što će zasigurno opet smanjit potražnju za njim, a sve je češće spominjanje konverzija deviznih rezervi velikih svjetskih centralnih banaka iz usd u eur.. Što opet smanjuje vrijednost usd.. Eto, ukratko sam vas malo upoznao sa situacijom, pozdrav! [cool]
Evo ovaj tekst je dosta star ali jako dobro opisuje američki dolar. Nadam se da vam se da čitati jer je zaista interesantno.
Dollar against Euro
The War on Iraq:
US and Europe clash for World Economic Dominance
by Geoffrey Heard
Green Party Review, Issue 1, No. 1, 2003
http://www.globalresearch.ca 25 June 2003
The URL of this article is: http://globalresearch.ca/articles/HEA306B.html
Why is George Bush so hell bent on war with Iraq? Why does his administration reject every positive Iraqi move? It all makes sense when you consider the economic implications for the USA of not going to war with Iraq. The war on Iraq is actually the US and Europe going head-to-head on economic leadership of the world.
America’s Bush administration has been caught in outright lies, gross exaggerations and incredible inaccuracies as it has trotted out its litany of paper thin excuses for making war on Iraq. Along with its two supporters, Britain and Australia, it has shifted its ground and reversed its position with a barefaced contempt for its audience. It has manipulated information, deceived by commission and omission and frantically “bought” UN votes with billion dollar bribes.
Faced with failing to gain UN Security Council support for invading Iraq, the USA has threatened to invade without authorisation (and Britain and Australia say they will go with it). They would act in breach of the UN’s very constitution to allegedly enforce UN resolutions.
It is plain bizarre. Where does this desperation for war come from?
There are many forces driving President Bush and his administration to invade Iraq, unseat Saddam Hussein and take over the country. One of the biggest is hidden and very, very simple. It is about the currency used to trade oil and consequently, who will dominate the world economically, in the foreseeable future — the USA or the European Union.
Alongside that is physical control of oil — Iraq’s and Venezuela’s in the first instance (the world’s second and fourth largest reserves), but once America has a massive military force based in the Middle East in territory over which it has control, where will it end? Iran is already on the agenda, named by Bush as part of the “axis of evil”, and Saudi Arabia, with the world’s largest oil reserves and the home of Al Qaeda, would be the obvious step after that.
Iraq is a European Union beachhead in the economic confrontation. America had a monopoly on the oil trade, with the US dollar as the fiat currency, until Iraq broke ranks in 2000, started to trade oil in the EU’s euros, and profited mightily. If America invades Iraq and takes over, it will hurl the EU and its euro back into the economic sea.
Besides ensuring the dollar remains the premier world trading currency, physical control of oil reserves is vital to the US to ensure supply at affordable prices. The USA’s own oil reserves are very limited — it has capped wells to retain a viable on-shore reserve, but it would not last long — and because real world oil reserves are being rapidly depleted.
The invasion and take over of Iraq would make America’s position as the dominant economic power in the world all but impregnable. It is the biggest grab for world power in modern times. America’s allies in the invasion, Britain and Australia, are betting America will win and that they will get some trickle-down benefits for jumping on to the US bandwagon.
France and Germany are the spearhead of the European force — Russia would like to go European but possibly can still be bought off because of its current economic problems.
Presumably, China would like to see the Europeans build a share of international trade currency ownership at this point at this point to blunt the US’s power while it continues to grow its international trading presence to the point where it, too, can vie for and share the leadership rewards.
DEBATE BUILDING ON THE